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Today’s brief:
Top partners push limits on rates
Turns out law firm mergers actually work
Coles hit with South Australian class action
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WORD ON THE STREET

Rates hit $4k

Elite US litigators’ billing rates have got out of hand. US law firm Susman Godfrey are charging up to US$4,000 an hour for top partners in 2026. One partner said, if there’s someone out there who bills higher, “please let us know so we may raise our rates.” Premium disputes talent keeps pushing the ceiling higher: Reuters
In good news for Ashurst, A&O and HSF Kramer, the data shows that law firm mergers mostly work. Analysis of 73 Big Law tie-ups shows around 75% delivered growth, profit and ranking gains, especially where deals chased new markets and clients, not just scale: NB
Checkbox, the Sydney-founded legal AI startup built by former schoolmates Evan Wong and James Han, has hit a $100m+ valuation after a $US23m raise led by Touring Capital. The platform builds AI bots for in-house legal teams, letting lawyers at Telstra, Woolworths and Macquarie automate low-level work: AFR
Dentons has hired Melbourne disputes partner Sarah Fregon from Landers. She adds 25 years of corporate crime, regulatory and major tort experience. The move beefs up the firm’s national disputes bench as enforcement and investigations work keeps climbing: Lawyers Weekly
PRACTICE POINTS

Enforcement gears up
⚖️ Regulatory: White-collar enforcement is accelerating. In 2025, regulators leaned hard into deterrence, doubling ASIC investigations year-on-year (132 vs 63) and lifting court actions, criminal convictions and civil penalties. The focus has widened beyond classic financial crime to cover bribery, AML/CTF, ESG and greenwashing, cyber failures, consumer harm and AI-enabled fraud. With new regimes now live or imminent, including failure-to-prevent foreign bribery, expanded AML obligations (pulling lawyers, accountants and real estate into scope), the Financial Accountability Regime and a new statutory privacy tort, both companies and senior executives face materially higher personal and corporate exposure heading into 2026: A&O Shearman
⚖️ Construction: The NSW Court of Appeal confirmed that payments made under NSW security of payment laws are interim only and can be clawed back if they exceed what was actually owed under the contract. Even where claims are approved, paid, or enforced through SOPA mechanisms, principals can later recover overpayments via restitution if the works were overstated. The Court also clarified that payment claims aren’t automatically misleading under consumer law. That is factual claims can mislead if wrong, but percentage progress claims are opinions and won’t breach the ACL if honestly and reasonably held: Thomson Geer
⚖️ Employment: Payday Super kicks in from 1 July 2026, forcing employers to pay super with every pay cycle (within seven business days) instead of quarterly. Treasury says many businesses have been using super as a cash-flow tool, and more than one in five SMEs may struggle once that buffer disappears. Industries with volatile revenue and large workforces face the most pressure. Late super will also block access to Safe Harbour, lifting the director's risk. Employers need to stress-test cash flow, update payroll systems and tighten controls well before the deadline: Hamilton Locke
TALKING POINTS

Fed holds rates

Did you hear…
The US Fed held rates steady for the first time since July, but Australia’s story is heading the other way. A surprise 0.9% spike in trimmed mean inflation has markets bracing for a rate hike next week, with Westpac, ANZ and BOQ all calling it. Chalmers was on defence, saying if the government budget was to blame for inflation, Australia wouldn’t have seen three rate cuts last year: Capital Brief, CNN
Also…
Elon Musk’s Grok churned out 3 million sexualised images in 11 days, including child abuse material. That’s roughly one every 41 seconds, researchers say. The fallout is moving fast, with Indonesia and Malaysia blocking Grok, a UK regulator probe, and Australia’s eSafety Commissioner flagging an increase from almost none to several reports of non-consensual sexual images: TDA
DEAL ROOM

IPO reboot
🛏️ Koala’s back with IPO pitch 2.0. The homewares group has kicked off a fresh non-deal roadshow for a ~$400m float, this time leaning hard into margins, profitability and a “Trump-proofed” supply chain after last year’s tariff wobble derailed its debut. A March bookbuild is on the cards: AFR
💥 Rio-Glencore merger talks are running into a legal minefield, with unresolved UK investor lawsuits over historic bribery potentially exposing Glencore to multi-billion-dollar civil damages. Any full takeover would see Rio inherit that unquantified liability, complicating valuation, timing and asset divestments: AFR
SECTOR SNAPSHOT

New class action


DIGGERS
🚜 Northern Minerals is heading for another boardroom fight. Beijing-linked Vastness Investment Group (7.7%) has moved to force a vote to remove chair Adam Handley, reopening concerns about foreign influence at a miner central to Australia’s critical minerals strategy. The move lands as FIRB scrutiny drags on, after Treasurer Jim Chalmers ordered Chinese-linked investors to divest last year: The Australian

FIN
🏦 NAB has quietly cut a consumer finance team as it wraps up the long-delayed integration of Citi’s Australian retail business. Four senior execs are out, 14 roles cut, and others redeployed as duplication is stripped out. The clean-up comes six months late, as CEO Andrew Irvine simplifies NAB’s white-label products and sharpens its retail banking push: Capital Brief

RETAIL + REAL ESTATE
🏠 Coles cops a new class action. Shine Lawyers has filed in the Federal Court over alleged underpayments tied to South Australia’s public and bank holiday rules between Dec 2019 and Dec 2023. Coles says the provisions are now repealed and that it’ll defend the claim: Capital Brief

TECH + STARTUPS
📱 Amazon says it will lay off 16,000 corporate staff, but hasn’t said where the axe will fall. An employee used an internal AI tool to scrape Slack chatter and compile a list of likely affected teams, including Prime, Bedrock, Redshift, ProServe and delivery ops. Amazon won’t confirm it: Business Insider
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