👋 G’day
Today’s brief:
Anthropic calls the end of the billable hour
Related party deals need written proof
PwC boss says adopt AI or leave
Here’s your latest, PB #{{join_number}} 👇
WORD ON THE STREET

Death of the hour?

Anthropic’s general counsel Jeff Bleich reckons AI will kill the billable hour, with the company estimating AI could handle 88% of legal tasks. It’s a tight thesis — AI automates the grunt work, firms can no longer justify padding hours, and the profession pivots to value-based pricing. But UC-Berkeley research tracking AI adoption suggests lawyers aren’t doing less. They're grinding harder, faster, across more matters: Point Blank
PwC's US boss Paul Griggs isn’t mucking around: partners who resist AI “won't be here that long.” The firm's launching PwC One, a client-facing platform offering automated tax, M&A due diligence and consulting tools on subscription, with no PwC person in the loop. Senior bonuses will track AI metrics, and graduate hiring is pivoting to engineers: AFR
Johnson Winter Slattery created a firmwide Head of AI role and handed it to new partner Jan Hards. It's not just an internal tech gig — Hards keeps his corporate practice turning while building out client-facing AI tools across transactions, disputes and regulatory work: Point Blank
White & Case grew revenue 8% to US$3.6bn in 2025, with half its work crossing borders, but that trails Big Law’s 13% average. Profit per equity partner jumped 10% to US$4.4m. The firm landed 51 lateral partners across 11 offices: Bloomberg
PRACTICE POINTS

Handshake deals denied
⚖️ Tax: The Full Federal Court has confirmed that related party dealings need formal agreements to support tax deductions, even where the arrangement is genuine. The Coronis Group’s operating companies claimed deductions for fees paid to related trusts for use of IP and a rent roll. The charges were commercial, but the written agreements had lapsed in 2015 and payments continued on a handshake. The ATO disallowed the deductions and the Full Court agreed, holding that a common director’s say-so isn't enough: courts require objective evidence of contractual arrangements: McCullough Robertson
⚖️ Insolvency: The Federal Court has approved Australia's first receiver-led creditors' scheme of arrangement, giving insolvency practitioners a fresh restructuring tool. Twinza Oil, which owed roughly US$387m to senior lenders, used the scheme to swap about 92% of its debt for equity, with lenders taking 83% of the restructured company. A first attempt failed when objectors challenged the valuation evidence. The parties regrouped, cut a deal, and the revised scheme sailed through with 100% creditor support. Clayton Utz acted for the senior secured lenders: Clayton Utz
⚖️ Consumer: The Australian Government has announced it will double maximum civil penalties under the Competition and Consumer Act to $100m, up from $50m, in response to fuel price gouging concerns. While triggered by the fuel sector, the increased penalties will apply economy-wide to false or misleading conduct and cartel behaviour. The legislation will be introduced next week. If passed, it'll mark a tenfold increase in just five years: KWM
TALKING POINTS

New “fuel czar”

Did you hear…
Albo’s appointed former energy regulator Anthea Harris as a “fuel czar” to coordinate the response to price spikes and supply disruptions from the Iran war. Australia imports over two-thirds of its fuel, and diesel prices have jumped 50%+ in some regions. And oil prices remain erratic — surging to almost US$120 a barrel yesterday before easing. In fact, each week Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG plant, the world’s largest, stays shut, the world loses enough energy to power Sydney's homes for an entire year: Bloomberg, AFR
Also…
The Nationals wouldn’t win a single lower house seat if an election were held today. New polling has One Nation on 27% of the primary vote, ahead of the Coalition’s 21%. For the first time, more men would give their first preference to One Nation (29%) than Labor (28%). The poll has the Coalition reduced to as few as nine seats: Capital Brief
DEAL ROOM

LNG stake sale
🛢️ Shell’s selling its 16.67% stake in the North West Shelf, valued around $2bn, with Abu Dhabi’s XRG weighing a bid and a Japanese consortium also circling: The Australian
⛏️ Dual-listed Capstone Copper is reportedly shopping its cash-churning Cozamin mine in Mexico, with Scotiabank tipped for the sell-side mandate. Macquarie values it at $642m: AFR
🕶️ Bailey Nelson’s co-founders are tapping UBS to find a capital partner for a 100-store rollout, targeting double the revenue in five years. The Bondi pop-up turned 122-store chain is tracking $145m revenue and ~$19m earnings: AFR
SECTOR SNAPSHOT

Airfares in flux


DIGGERS
🚜 The Electrical Trades Union, representing about 60 high-voltage workers who keep BHP’s mine sites and the town of Newman running, has lobbed a log of claims. It’s seeking base pay of $249k by 2028, a $40k retention bonus, 300% public holiday penalties and the right to choose rosters. The CMEWA estimates the full package could hit $400k a year: The Australian

FIN
🏦 AUSTRAC has hauled in 10 of Australia’s biggest banks, including the Big Four, Macquarie and HSBC, to share loan data as it probes how deep mortgage fraud runs across the sector. It follows CBA flagging $1bn in suspected fraudulent home loans. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs is ditching its usual one-hit mass culling of underperformers in favour of rolling layoffs starting April. Cuts will happen across all divisions: AFR, Business Insider

RETAIL + REAL ESTATE
🏠 Qantas is now reviewing airfares every two weeks as Middle East conflict sends fuel costs surging by up to $15m a day. Return fares to London have jumped from $1,800 to $5,000, with passenger loads above 90%. Macquarie estimates a $174m hit to Qantas’ net earnings after fare increases. Shares are down 20% since the conflict began: AFR

TECH + STARTUPS
📱 Jeff Bezos is reportedly raising US$100bn to acquire manufacturing companies and overhaul them with AI, meeting with major asset managers across the Middle East and Singapore. Meanwhile, TikTok is testing a mini-drama feed inside its main app, with short episodes running one to five minutes. Many popular series are AI-generated. Mini-drama apps pulled in US$1.4bn in US revenue last year: WSJ, Business Insider
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